Example 1 — Sampling student GPA
EasyProblem
A school of 10,000 students wants the average GPA from a sample of 50. The school wants each grade (9-12) fairly represented. Which method?
Solution
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The goal is fair representation of known subgroups (grade levels), and selection must be unbiased.
Name the structure before touching arithmetic — that is what makes the right method obvious.
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Ask the recognition question: Is the focus on the RULE for choosing who enters the sample (rather than how to assign treatments or compute a statistic)?
If the answer is yes, the concept applies; the cue, not a keyword, decides the method.
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Use stratified sampling: split students by grade, then randomly pick a proportional number from each grade.
The rule is chosen only after the structure matches, so the steps mean something.
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Random selection within each stratum makes each grade represented in proportion to its size.
Keep units, shape, or answer form tied to the story so the work does not become symbol pushing.
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Check the answer against the original question.
It should fit the mental model — how you pick the sample decides if it's fair. If it does not, revisit the recognition step before changing the arithmetic.
Answer
Stratified random sample
Takeaway: When you must guarantee every subgroup is represented, stratify first, then randomly sample within strata.