Conditional Probability Math Example 3

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Example 3

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Two cards are drawn without replacement from a standard deck. Given that the first card is a king, what is the probability the second card is also a king?

Solution

  1. 1
    After drawing one king, there are 33 kings remaining out of 5151 cards.
  2. 2
    P(2nd king1st king)=351=117P(\text{2nd king} \mid \text{1st king}) = \frac{3}{51} = \frac{1}{17}.

Answer

P=117P = \frac{1}{17}
Without replacement, the sample space shrinks after each draw. The conditional probability accounts for the updated deck composition.

About Conditional Probability

The conditional probability P(AB)P(A|B) is the probability of event AA occurring given that event BB has already occurred.

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