Two events are independent if knowing that one event happened does not change the probability of the other event.
Independence means âno update.â If learning B happened leaves the chance of A exactly the same, then the events are independent.
Showing a random 20 of 80 problems.
Example 1
hard
Three independent hypothesis tests, each with significance level α=0.05, are run on null-true data. Find P(at least one false rejection).
Example 2
hard
A,B are independent. P(AâȘB)=0.7 and P(B)=0.5. Find P(A).
Example 3
medium
A sensor's two independent readings each fail with probability 0.02. Find P(at least one fails).Sensor 1 â Sensor 2; P(both OK) = 0.98ÂČ = 0.9604; P(at least one fails) = 1 â 0.9604 = 0.0396
Example 4
hard
A coin is flipped 5 times. Find P(exactly 3 heads).
Example 5
easy
A coin and a die are observed as independent trials. Find P(heads and 4 or higher).
Example 6
hard
A simple random sample of 5 voters has P(vote yes)=0.55 for each (with replacement). Find P(at least one no).
Example 7
easy
Two independent diagnostic tests each have P(positiveâŁhealthy)=0.05. Find P(both false positive).
Example 8
easy
A spinner gives red with probability 0.3. Spun twice independently, find P(red on both spins).Spin 1 â Spin 2; highlighted path RedâRed has probability 0.3 Ă 0.3 = 0.09
Example 9
hard
An A/B test runs until either A or B gets 3 conversions first. Assignments are independent and P(convertâŁA)=P(convertâŁB)=0.5. Find P(A gets exactly 3 conversions in the first 5 trials) when only A's group is tracked.
Example 10
hard
A fair coin is flipped until heads appears. Find P(exactly 3 flips needed).
Example 11
medium
A weather model gives P(rain today)=0.3 and P(rain tomorrow)=0.4, independent. Find P(rain on at least one day).Today â Tomorrow; P(no rain both) = 0.7 Ă 0.6 = 0.42; P(rain at least one day) = 1 â 0.42 = 0.58
A red die and a blue die are rolled together. Find P(red is 3 and blue is even).Red die â Blue die; highlighted path Red=3âEven has probability 1/6 Ă 1/2 = 1/12
Example 14
easy
A die is rolled twice. Find P(6 then 6).Roll 1 â Roll 2; highlighted path 6â6 has probability 1/6 Ă 1/6 = 1/36
Example 15
medium
Two independent events have P(A)=0.6, P(B)=0.5. Find P(AâȘB).
Example 16
hard
Three independent events A,B,C each have probability 0.6. Find P(exactly 2 occur).
A test for a disease is positive with probability 0.95 if a person is sick. Two independent tests are run on a sick person. Find P(both positive).Test 1 â Test 2; highlighted path PosâPos has probability 0.95 Ă 0.95 = 0.9025
Example 19
easy
A bag has 5 balls. Draw one WITHOUT replacement, then another. Are the draws independent?
Example 20
medium
Two archers hit a target independently with probabilities 0.7 and 0.8. Find the probability that exactly one hits.Archer A â Archer B; exactly one hit = P(Hit A, Miss B) + P(Miss A, Hit B) = 0.14 + 0.24 = 0.38