Exponential Growth Math Example 2

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Example 2

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A city's population grows at 3%3\% per year. If the current population is 200,000200{,}000, when will it reach 300,000300{,}000?

Solution

  1. 1
    Model: P(t)=200000(1.03)tP(t) = 200000(1.03)^t. Set P(t)=300000P(t) = 300000: (1.03)t=1.5(1.03)^t = 1.5.
  2. 2
    Take ln⁑\ln: tβ‹…ln⁑(1.03)=ln⁑(1.5)t \cdot \ln(1.03) = \ln(1.5).
  3. 3
    t=ln⁑(1.5)ln⁑(1.03)=0.40550.02956β‰ˆ13.72t = \frac{\ln(1.5)}{\ln(1.03)} = \frac{0.4055}{0.02956} \approx 13.72 years.

Answer

tβ‰ˆ13.7Β yearst \approx 13.7 \text{ years}
Exponential growth with a constant percentage rate uses the model P(t)=P0(1+r)tP(t) = P_0(1+r)^t. Solving for time requires logarithms. The Rule of 70 estimates doubling time as 70/r70/r (here 70/3β‰ˆ2370/3 \approx 23 years), but this problem asks when the population reaches 1.51.5 times its initial value, which takes less time.

About Exponential Growth

Exponential growth occurs when a quantity increases by a constant multiplicative factor over equal intervals.

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