Compound Events Statistics Example 3

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Example 3

medium
A spinner has sections: Red (50%), Blue (30%), Green (20%). You spin twice. What is the probability of getting the same colour both times?

Solution

  1. 1
    Step 1: Spins are independent. P(RR)=0.5×0.5=0.25P(\text{RR}) = 0.5 \times 0.5 = 0.25. P(BB)=0.3×0.3=0.09P(\text{BB}) = 0.3 \times 0.3 = 0.09. P(GG)=0.2×0.2=0.04P(\text{GG}) = 0.2 \times 0.2 = 0.04.
  2. 2
    Step 2: P(same colour)=P(RR)+P(BB)+P(GG)=0.25+0.09+0.04=0.38P(\text{same colour}) = P(\text{RR}) + P(\text{BB}) + P(\text{GG}) = 0.25 + 0.09 + 0.04 = 0.38.

Answer

P(same colour)=0.38P(\text{same colour}) = 0.38 (38%).
To find the probability of 'same colour', we add the probabilities of each matching outcome (RR, BB, GG). These are mutually exclusive compound events, so we use the addition rule for the overall probability.

About Compound Events

Compound events are probability events made up of two or more simple events combined using 'and' (both events occur) or 'or' (at least one occurs). For independent 'and' events, multiply probabilities; for 'or' events, add probabilities and subtract any overlap.

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